A New Year Arrives
In the end, 2009 was a year for the markets that truly surpassed everyone’s wildest dreams. When markets were down almost 30% in March, there was nobody out there who saw a year in which the S&P 500 would finish with a positive 26.5%. We were amongst those who saw a buying opportunity. We were buying for what we saw as a positive opportunity that would play out in a one to five year time frame. For it to play out in a nine month time frame was beyond anything we considered.
Despite the fantastic finish of 2009, the S&P is still off 24.9% from its October 2007 peak. That is still a huge drawdown (i.e. loss from peak to now) that investors cannot afford. That is why we still believe that active investment management using a wider playing field than the traditional stocks, bonds, and cash is required in order to help you achieve your financial goals. Our management style has worked well through this period and we feel it will continue to produce results in 2010 and beyond.
In terms of what to expect in 2010, we do not know what the market will serve up. There is still momentum in the equity market and lots of money on the sidelines that could push prices higher as it comes into the market. It is our feeling, however, that it is a time for caution. While very high quality investments seem to be priced around their historic averages, poor quality companies seem very expensive and at risk of a large tumble. So, we believe that quality large companies are the area to overweight going forward and low quality investments should be underweighted.
We expect there to be some opportunities to enter into investments at low prices as the year goes on. As always, we will try to take advantage of inefficient market pricing of assets.
Lastly, we want to thank each and every one of your for your loyalty and faith in us over the years. As we look at the millions and millions of your dollars that we are entrusted to manage, we are truly honored by your commitment to us. Every day we feel fortunate to be where we are in this difficult environment and seek to continue to earn your continued loyalty. We really mean it- Thank you!!